Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc614df8716f0ac7300b19ebc2b6159aab345f1b57e0aa627cfe5dfedba8459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 3,385$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.22 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,147$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.16 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 77c | 1,408$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 21c | 1,149$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 18c | 948.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 70c | 836.09$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 33c | 767.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.04 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 15c | 624.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 32c | 609.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 18c | 602.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…b5bebacked Yes | 26c | 563.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 17c | 477.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 80c | 389.43$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 370.76$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 16c | 363.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 20c | 352.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 22c | 352.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 339.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 258.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9f3bbacked Yes | 37c | 229.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 12c | 217.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 20c | 210.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 19c | 197.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 80c | 188.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 28c | 179.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 167.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 166.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 73c | 162.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…9e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 157.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 155.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 154.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 73c | 154$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 135.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 12c | 131.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 20c | 128.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Yes | 12c | 126.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 74c | 121.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 120.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 13c | 119.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 29c | 117.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 70c | 112.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 103.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 40c | 102.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 23c | 101.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 20c | 100.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…bcacbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 11c | 98.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 26c | 96.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 95.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 91.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 91.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 20c | 89.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 86.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 83.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…b127backed Yes | 15c | 82.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 76 | 14.5%11 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Yes | 19c | 82.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 33c | 80.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 77.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 17c | 74.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…2a5ebacked No | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -12.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 20c | 65.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 20c | 65.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 52.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 71c | 51.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 45.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 28c | 42.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…47d0backed No | 78c | 38.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 33c | 38.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 37.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 76c | 35.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed No | 72c | 34.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed No | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 71c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 80c | 26.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 69c | 26.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 70c | 24.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 66c | 22.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed No | 66c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 74c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 67c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.