Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf90a0a0b186fdc3c3386212f35af98679f957eb3b791cba0c04740466dd66645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 53c | 4,193$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.01 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 10c | 2,781$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.3 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,623$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.52 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 24c | 2,340$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.47 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 72c | 2,283$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.72 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 19c | 635.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.48 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 23c | 617.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 75c | 615.2$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 600.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…da6dbacked No | 46c | 560.89$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 36c | 542.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 509.9$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.44 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 7c | 477.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 26c | 459.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 418.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.25 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 16c | 390.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 382.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.16 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 10c | 335.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 322.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 51c | 300.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked No | 14c | 284.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 279.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 19c | 269.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 44c | 256.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 222.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 217.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 23c | 214.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 18c | 208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 205.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 22c | 203.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…ef56backed Yes | 28c | 202.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked No | 50c | 189.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 22c | 185.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 182.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked No | 42c | 181.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 36c | 166.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 151.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d262backed No | 52c | 151.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 20c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 51c | 148.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 25c | 137.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 137$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 71c | 137$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 73c | 126.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 17c | 125.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 72c | 125.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 72c | 125.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 32c | 123.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 75c | 119.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 116.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 37c | 108.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…002ebacked No | 75c | 107.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 17c | 104.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 58c | 96.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 76c | 94.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 93.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 79c | 93.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 20c | 91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 25c | 90.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 41c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 28c | 86.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked No | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 58c | 80.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 22c | 79.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 78.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 33c | 74.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 65c | 69.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 78c | 59.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 21c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 29c | 57.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…97cabacked No | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 75c | 53.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed No | 74c | 53.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 63c | 52.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 75c | 52.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 45c | 51.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 69c | 49.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 77c | 49.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 74c | 45.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 72c | 44.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 42c | 43.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 57c | 42.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed Yes | 31c | 40.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 77c | 40.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 57c | 39.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.