Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4e1d5c39d5081a59fbf94604f1784c6a8cfcf361b8900864775a6d5e86a09ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Robin Bertrand, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,697 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Robin Bertrand | 8c | 18,004$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Robin Bertrand | 4c | 5,072$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Robin Bertrand | 17c | 1,944$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.08 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Robin Bertrand | 23c | 1,730$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Robin Bertrand | 38c | 1,635$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.74 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Robin Bertrand | 12c | 960.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Robin Bertrand | 14c | 726.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Robin Bertrand | 19c | 557.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Robin Bertrand | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Toby Samuel | 78c | 458.73$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Robin Bertrand | 11c | 414.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Robin Bertrand | 7c | 392.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toby Samuel | 79c | 303.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 294.56$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Robin Bertrand | 13c | 271.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Robin Bertrand | 8c | 269$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Robin Bertrand | 17c | 235$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Robin Bertrand | 19c | 172.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Robin Bertrand | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…f1a9backed Robin Bertrand | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Robin Bertrand | 12c | 125.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Robin Bertrand | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Robin Bertrand | 19c | 114.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Robin Bertrand | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Robin Bertrand | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Robin Bertrand | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Robin Bertrand | 15c | 94.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Robin Bertrand | 20c | 79.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Robin Bertrand | 15c | 74.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…7e02backed Robin Bertrand | 14c | 71.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Robin Bertrand | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Robin Bertrand | 28c | 47.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Robin Bertrand | 27c | 41.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 31.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Toby Samuel | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Toby Samuel | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Bertrand vs. Samuel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.