Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Calvin Hemery vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x081be338f37192ca26d58ffa7162b004dcbe73feeb1be4cc2111da88c9686f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Calvin Hemery, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,916 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Calvin Hemery | 5c | 4,324$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.84 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Calvin Hemery | 15c | 3,310$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Calvin Hemery | 14c | 1,383$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 1,286$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.55 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Calvin Hemery | 22c | 1,126$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Calvin Hemery | 15c | 356.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Calvin Hemery | 27c | 313.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Calvin Hemery | 6c | 240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 229.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…8285backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 213.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Calvin Hemery | 12c | 200.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Calvin Hemery | 27c | 196.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Calvin Hemery | 11c | 192.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Calvin Hemery | 19c | 175.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Calvin Hemery | 28c | 142.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Arthur Gea | 72c | 139.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Calvin Hemery | 15c | 124.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Calvin Hemery | 8c | 121.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Calvin Hemery | 27c | 118.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Calvin Hemery | 14c | 117$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Calvin Hemery | 13c | 109.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Calvin Hemery | 28c | 106.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Calvin Hemery | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Calvin Hemery | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Calvin Hemery | 29c | 70.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Arthur Gea | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Arthur Gea | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 45.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Calvin Hemery | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…8d77backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 21.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Arthur Gea | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.