Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8550f828b9ac4c798794a2be8c669fb1b57f4e475c45f6ea662fc458590f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,600 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 6,666$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,397$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,293$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 1c | 3,210$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,946$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,335$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 48c | 1,008$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 4c | 967.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 65c | 939.35$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 2c | 810$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 53c | 759.82$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.47 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Yes | 52c | 586.24$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 61c | 538.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.04 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes | 38c | 533.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…e615backed No | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 490.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Yes | 52c | 419$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 413$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 12c | 401.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…e412backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…6c3dbacked Yes | 18c | 392.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 379.13$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 31c | 361.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 74c | 323.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 283.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 21c | 266.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 18c | 235.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…c972backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 30c | 195.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed Yes | 25c | 193.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 71c | 189.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 184.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 33c | 183.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…d7aebacked No | 76c | 152.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 140.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 37c | 135.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 32c | 129.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…844ebacked Yes | 38c | 125.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…cf0fbacked Yes | 35c | 113.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 68c | 110.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 68c | 109.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 36c | 109.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…8032backed No | 65c | 106.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 50c | 104.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 53c | 102.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 16c | 99.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 30c | 98.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 13c | 96.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 76c | 92.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 36c | 83.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 78.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 77.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 35c | 69.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe942…2c3ebacked Yes | 49c | 67.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc437…0f42backed Yes | 30c | 66.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 20c | 65.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 39c | 65.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 20c | 64.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…559cbacked Yes | 40c | 63.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…5a20backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 60.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…dbe8backed Yes | 51c | 59.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 59.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…69debacked Yes | 22c | 52.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…7562backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…636fbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…4894backed Yes | 51c | 49.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…82a0backed Yes | 36c | 49.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…3d8abacked No | 71c | 49.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes | 31c | 48.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a773backed Yes | 56c | 46.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 70c | 45.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 51c | 43.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…d9dbbacked Yes | 46c | 43.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked No | 75c | 42.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed No | 72c | 41.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…f641backed No | 75c | 39.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 43c | 36.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…d03bbacked No | 68c | 35.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…427abacked Yes | 33c | 35.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.