TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Laura Siegemund vs Elina Svitolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elina Svitolinaof Laura Siegemund, Elina Svitolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,752 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Laura Siegemund22c15,232$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Laura Siegemund18c13,776$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.792,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Laura Siegemund28c5,706$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.262,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Laura Siegemund25c5,364$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb2…8ad7backed Laura Siegemund44c4,511$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Elina Svitolina75c3,793$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9353852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Elina Svitolina64c3,133$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.0336968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Elina Svitolina73c3,001$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.1228552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Laura Siegemund11c2,976$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Elina Svitolina58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Laura Siegemund3c1,800$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elina Svitolina74c1,599$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.296,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Laura Siegemund16c1,539$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8328726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Elina Svitolina67c1,528$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.32560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Laura Siegemund10c1,380$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4912032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Laura Siegemund12c1,312$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2738931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Elina Svitolina58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.112951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Elina Svitolina63c1,207$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4818756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Laura Siegemund30c1,134$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1443062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Laura Siegemund16c993.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8312245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Laura Siegemund15c993.12$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.482,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Laura Siegemund4c976.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.661,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Laura Siegemund29c918.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.862,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Laura Siegemund15c914.66$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.417818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3a…5597backed Elina Svitolina73c841.29$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.682646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Laura Siegemund13c768.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.241,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Laura Siegemund12c716.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.995425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Laura Siegemund27c685.85$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.495133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Laura Siegemund25c678.84$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Laura Siegemund16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Elina Svitolina58c604.71$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.987945.6%36 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Elina Svitolina75c584.52$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Laura Siegemund25c565.84$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Laura Siegemund37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Laura Siegemund12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Elina Svitolina78c474.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.264065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…b176backed Laura Siegemund9c382.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Elina Svitolina62c379.8$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.951,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Laura Siegemund17c365.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.894654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Elina Svitolina62c359.63$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6342558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Elina Svitolina80c340.27$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6512765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Laura Siegemund16c328$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Laura Siegemund10c315.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Elina Svitolina66c305.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1915762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Laura Siegemund26c304.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.856,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Laura Siegemund21c298.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6446030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Laura Siegemund43c276.91$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0715951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dd…d3dfbacked Elina Svitolina62c262.1$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Laura Siegemund16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Laura Siegemund18c241.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Laura Siegemund13c239.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab9…1116backed Laura Siegemund36c235.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Laura Siegemund17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Elina Svitolina72c234.8$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Laura Siegemund15c230.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a4d…71c6backed Laura Siegemund5c227.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.387859%46 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Laura Siegemund30c221.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.494,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Elina Svitolina73c220$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6072542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Laura Siegemund30c213.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5743058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Laura Siegemund11c173.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Laura Siegemund19c171$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.714458.3%84 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Laura Siegemund12c167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.048724.1%21 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Laura Siegemund18c163.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.431,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Laura Siegemund39c160.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7514541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x796c…49dbbacked Elina Svitolina76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Laura Siegemund34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Laura Siegemund33c142.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.462,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Laura Siegemund36c140.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Laura Siegemund14c135.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.043732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Laura Siegemund15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Laura Siegemund26c129.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.824,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x957f…8bb9backed Elina Svitolina56c129.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Laura Siegemund11c128$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Laura Siegemund19c113.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0945147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5356…8429backed Laura Siegemund11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Elina Svitolina66c107.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5317930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8770…8aabbacked Elina Svitolina67c100.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.123964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Elina Svitolina59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4127664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Elina Svitolina64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Elina Svitolina55c86.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.461,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Elina Svitolina64c83.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1951445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Elina Svitolina66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7574961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Laura Siegemund20c74.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9624244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Laura Siegemund37c74.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6511144.1%49 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Laura Siegemund35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Elina Svitolina67c60.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0882560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Elina Svitolina67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.736047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Laura Siegemund28c59.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5227546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Elina Svitolina71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.965264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Laura Siegemund29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.011154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef7a…75cabacked Laura Siegemund31c54.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Laura Siegemund29c53.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352556%14 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Laura Siegemund25c52.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311347.8%54 W · 59 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed Laura Siegemund35c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…a8c8backed Laura Siegemund25c51.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Laura Siegemund22c51.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2338147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Elina Svitolina80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Laura Siegemund40c49.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Laura Siegemund26c47.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2417552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c33…8ad6backed Elina Svitolina67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.787862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.