Fifa International · resolved market
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06c7500daa711544f1a1c4befe89fe694ba7fe6d173a9ea81623f1709377da7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 5c | 8,130$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.51 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 6,744$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 4c | 5,912$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,507$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,570$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,363$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 5c | 954.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 5c | 954.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 5c | 668.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 5c | 606.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 5c | 560$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 5c | 542.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 4c | 540$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…d76fbacked Yes | 6c | 535$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 5c | 449.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 5c | 397.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 6c | 344.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 3c | 329.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 6c | 328.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 5c | 301.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…53d5backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Yes | 5c | 235$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07?this page
- Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw?No won
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.