NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31d4653f68579ee0e4589b5467a3e6cac01ffb73fcd1aa840cbd8b7720a89c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 14c | 16,490$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Cavaliers | 1c | 11,876$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Pacers | 22c | 10,880$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.43 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Pacers | 71c | 8,682$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.75 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 7,180$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.5 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 3c | 6,400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 22c | 6,387$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers | 22c | 6,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.94 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Cavaliers | 3c | 5,886$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Pacers | 60c | 5,294$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.21 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers | 33c | 4,506$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.96 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 4,162$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.71 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 35c | 3,934$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.71 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 25c | 3,865$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 79c | 3,799$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Cavaliers | 78c | 3,038$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Pacers | 23c | 3,035$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.59 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 23c | 2,561$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.28 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 7c | 2,553$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.32 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 22c | 2,473$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.94 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 2,436$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pacers | 21c | 2,245$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.19 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Cavaliers | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 60c | 1,514$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 58c | 1,502$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Pacers | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,500$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,438$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.48 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,394$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.6 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,353$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.95 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 56c | 1,352$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.04 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Cavaliers | 8c | 1,292$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…2e66backed Cavaliers | 16c | 1,250$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Pacers | 72c | 1,222$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Pacers | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers | 27c | 1,100$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pacers | 28c | 1,061$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.19 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,050$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.5 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 62c | 999.98$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Cavaliers | 74c | 981$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.18 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Cavaliers | 78c | 949.47$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 938.46$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 898.14$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.55 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 70c | 799.99$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Cavaliers | 76c | 799.99$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.85 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 76c | 796.99$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.71 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…3bcabacked Cavaliers | 79c | 777.29$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cavaliers | 75c | 769$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.75 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 756.67$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.64 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…450ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 752.13$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 22c | 730.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.83 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Pacers | 21c | 700.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 75c | 699.92$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Cavaliers | 70c | 692.99$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.24 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…3379backed Cavaliers | 64c | 688.53$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Cavaliers | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Cavaliers | 76c | 630.76$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.11 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Cavaliers | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 600$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 42c | 584.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Cavaliers | 61c | 583.63$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Pacers | 24c | 583.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cavaliers | 78c | 574.14$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.83 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pacers | 23c | 568$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.36 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Cavaliers | 77c | 552.49$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 21c | 538.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.59 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Pacers | 22c | 530$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.4 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 25c | 520.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 515.41$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.86 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Cavaliers | 78c | 501$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 499.93$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pacers | 21c | 480$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Cavaliers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Cavaliers | 78c | 432.6$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Pacers | 21c | 422$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Pacers | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pacers | 43c | 407.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.93 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Cavaliers | 79c | 405.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 404.08$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pacers | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Cavaliers | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 394.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 78c | 394.1$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Cavaliers | 70c | 356.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Pacers | 31c | 355.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Cavaliers | 63c | 350$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…3e4abacked Cavaliers | 79c | 343.82$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…35e8backed Cavaliers | 78c | 319.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Pacers | 70c | 315.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 312$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers | 21c | 310.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Cavaliers | 22c | 306$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Cavaliers | 73c | 300$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.