NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94eb072467d097e79cade913b87259a251d44a824954b1275e248ac25fdc75a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 3c | 13,950$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…c510backed Bulls | 1c | 9,434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Bulls | 14c | 5,213$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.47 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 15c | 4,650$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.48 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 16c | 4,479$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.23 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bulls | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Bulls | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls | 16c | 2,495$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 14c | 2,302$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.21 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 16c | 1,999$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.55 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…d0aebacked Bulls | 15c | 1,837$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Bulls | 19c | 1,580$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Bulls | 15c | 1,445$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…9b6ebacked Bulls | 20c | 1,258$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Bulls | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Bulls | 21c | 947.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Celtics | 78c | 789.72$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…2357backed Bulls | 14c | 770$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls | 18c | 740$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Bulls | 20c | 738.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…81f1backed Bulls | 13c | 711$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bulls | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 80c | 595.39$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…505dbacked Bulls | 14c | 590$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Bulls | 8c | 584.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…405bbacked Bulls | 14c | 505$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Bulls | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x043a…97cdbacked Bulls | 14c | 488$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bulls | 19c | 478.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 8c | 472.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Bulls | 22c | 458.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 12c | 445.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Bulls | 20c | 431$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 5c | 427.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Bulls | 15c | 418.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…2a14backed Bulls | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…466dbacked Bulls | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Bulls | 12c | 381.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…c023backed Bulls | 14c | 344$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…68f9backed Bulls | 15c | 334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Bulls | 22c | 322.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a3…d3acbacked Bulls | 14c | 310$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…c465backed Bulls | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Bulls | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…d499backed Bulls | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…b890backed Bulls | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa27…eea1backed Bulls | 13c | 278$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…5fc6backed Bulls | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Bulls | 23c | 250.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 79c | 249.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bulls | 9c | 225$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Bulls | 14c | 211.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls | 18c | 208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaa…95c1backed Bulls | 16c | 201.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Bulls | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…ec9fbacked Bulls | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Bulls | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Bulls | 16c | 164.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4b…52c4backed Bulls | 15c | 161.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…f4ecbacked Bulls | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed Bulls | 19c | 149.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…8d74backed Bulls | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 17c | 129.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Bulls | 18c | 123.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…edd0backed Bulls | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Bulls | 21c | 118.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Bulls | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…d0f6backed Bulls | 18c | 110.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Bulls | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls | 15c | 100.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…eda8backed Bulls | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…7326backed Bulls | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Bulls | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Bulls | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Bulls | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Bulls | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…699fbacked Bulls | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…bd3cbacked Bulls | 15c | 99.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Bulls | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…d0a0backed Bulls | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Bulls | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Bulls | 18c | 82.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…d5e1backed Bulls | 22c | 81.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…3535backed Bulls | 15c | 77.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8995…c18ebacked Bulls | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…2853backed Bulls | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…4908backed Celtics | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e8…7a29backed Celtics | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Celtics | 73c | 40.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Celtics | 77c | 36.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…507cbacked Celtics | 78c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Celtics | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…1338backed Celtics | 79c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…d96bbacked Celtics | 79c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.