NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb257470dde08df86fcb149fa76e03c5bd40d8e56dc06115d8e528f2fa1358d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Wizards, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 10c | 35,229$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 7c | 29,021$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.47 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 8c | 21,146$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.72 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 7c | 19,723$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.74 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Wizards | 8c | 14,210$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.53 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Wizards | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Wizards | 7c | 11,818$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Wizards | 5c | 11,469$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.43 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 9c | 9,950$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.3 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 10c | 9,424$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.45 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 7c | 7,980$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Wizards | 7c | 7,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…afc4backed Wizards | 8c | 6,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Wizards | 8c | 5,710$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Wizards | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Wizards | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Wizards | 10c | 4,910$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.79 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Wizards | 8c | 4,874$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.15 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 8c | 4,514$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.53 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wizards | 7c | 4,042$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 3,607$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Wizards | 9c | 3,462$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d9dfbacked Wizards | 6c | 2,515$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Wizards | 6c | 2,397$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Wizards | 8c | 2,271$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 1c | 2,261$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Wizards | 6c | 2,218$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 6c | 2,127$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…da3abacked Wizards | 10c | 2,101$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…a9f1backed Wizards | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards | 1c | 2,063$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Wizards | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Wizards | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…fc0ebacked Wizards | 9c | 1,933$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 12c | 1,930$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Wizards | 7c | 1,779$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Wizards | 8c | 1,637$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…e7ffbacked Wizards | 3c | 1,597$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 8c | 1,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 7c | 1,502$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…85ecbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,475$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Wizards | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Wizards | 7c | 1,339$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wizards | 9c | 1,278$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…da4cbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,228$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…d9d8backed Wizards | 8c | 1,150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 7c | 1,119$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…ac35backed Wizards | 9c | 1,038$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…4736backed Wizards | 8c | 1,029$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4397backed Wizards | 8c | 1,014$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…a2fbbacked Wizards | 7c | 999.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Wizards | 7c | 989.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…b459backed Wizards | 9c | 966.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…acf9backed Wizards | 9c | 955.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…dc5ebacked Wizards | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed Wizards | 7c | 910$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Wizards | 7c | 874.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed Wizards | 7c | 799.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 6c | 770.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…8457backed Wizards | 8c | 767.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Wizards | 11c | 753.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Wizards | 10c | 748.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Wizards | 8c | 746.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Wizards | 8c | 740.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c3…a73abacked Wizards | 8c | 723.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Wizards | 8c | 687.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Wizards | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Wizards | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Wizards | 8c | 578.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Wizards | 9c | 560.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Wizards | 5c | 556$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Wizards | 5c | 556$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…b02dbacked Wizards | 9c | 535.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 5c | 528.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8184…eba0backed Wizards | 7c | 509.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Wizards | 5c | 504.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…4ee5backed Wizards | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Wizards | 10c | 494.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Wizards | 8c | 471.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 11c | 470.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Wizards | 10c | 468.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…408fbacked Wizards | 8c | 467.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Wizards | 8c | 424.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Wizards | 8c | 404.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…a897backed Wizards | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Wizards | 8c | 380$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 8c | 362.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Wizards | 4c | 320$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Wizards | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Wizards | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Wizards | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.