NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50578bfb9bf234e735cf232c78e2826cd4872a4ebb5a1cb78ca3a32062ee53e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Raptors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Raptors | 11c | 33,982$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.25 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raptors | 10c | 31,948$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 25c | 31,304$7,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.6 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Raptors | 10c | 26,451$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.57 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Cavaliers | 70c | 22,725$15,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.54 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 7c | 21,631$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.9 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Cavaliers | 79c | 19,078$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.38 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 22c | 17,549$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.17 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Raptors | 11c | 17,452$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 36c | 14,498$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors | 30c | 11,545$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.16 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 8c | 8,265$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.41 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers | 61c | 8,190$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.87 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 6,948$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.23 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Raptors | 7c | 6,499$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.94 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Raptors | 13c | 6,152$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.82 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Raptors | 10c | 5,878$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.78 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed Raptors | 8c | 5,849$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 10c | 5,290$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.93 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Raptors | 31c | 5,219$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.54 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 8c | 5,050$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…b0c4backed Raptors | 8c | 5,048$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Raptors | 9c | 4,967$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…2509backed Raptors | 12c | 4,856$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Raptors | 8c | 3,685$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,373$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.32 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 3,280$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.42 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors | 30c | 3,259$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.13 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Raptors | 11c | 3,082$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.07 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,892$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.25 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 21c | 2,871$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.11 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 75c | 2,717$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.45 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Raptors | 8c | 2,670$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,616$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.46 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…294abacked Raptors | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…3e46backed Raptors | 10c | 2,483$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…21f5backed Raptors | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…0f98backed Raptors | 21c | 2,379$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 8c | 2,165$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 9c | 2,043$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…aa12backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,840$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors | 31c | 1,828$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.64 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Raptors | 9c | 1,782$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Raptors | 20c | 1,541$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,504$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.25 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 9c | 1,412$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,335$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,311$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Raptors | 40c | 1,300$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.58 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Raptors | 11c | 1,300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,290$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…9e2bbacked Raptors | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,188$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.57 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Raptors | 37c | 1,184$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,120$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Raptors | 18c | 1,111$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 25c | 1,105$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.33 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,083$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.78 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,025$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0902…7752backed Raptors | 10c | 1,024$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Raptors | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…d148backed Raptors | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…10cbbacked Raptors | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Raptors | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…bc92backed Cavaliers | 69c | 962.84$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Raptors | 11c | 888.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Raptors | 22c | 884.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Raptors | 11c | 848.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Raptors | 10c | 833.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 8c | 809.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…94d4backed Raptors | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Raptors | 10c | 799.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Raptors | 21c | 790.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cavaliers | 63c | 755.65$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.59 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Raptors | 30c | 748.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raptors | 41c | 742.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Raptors | 10c | 741.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…9301backed Raptors | 9c | 720.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raptors | 9c | 631.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cavaliers | 75c | 609.23$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Raptors | 31c | 604.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Raptors | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Raptors | 10c | 569.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Raptors | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Raptors | 9c | 555.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Raptors | 8c | 551.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 15c | 528.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Raptors | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Raptors | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4061backed Raptors | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.