Lol · resolved market
LoL: BNK FEARX vs MGN Vikings Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56fc39f39b37efe359e541fe3b1533dfff898c9be4698f19a9e96812c755a613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, MGN Vikings Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MGN Vikings Esports | 10c | 27,087$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.01 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MGN Vikings Esports | 12c | 24,652$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.07 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MGN Vikings Esports | 11c | 9,745$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.57 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed MGN Vikings Esports | 12c | 9,274$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 13c | 4,798$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 2,222$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 1,450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MGN Vikings Esports | 13c | 1,324$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MGN Vikings Esports | 12c | 1,279$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MGN Vikings Esports | 17c | 1,075$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…2aa9backed MGN Vikings Esports | 16c | 999.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MGN Vikings Esports | 14c | 923.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…5ebcbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 7c | 469.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed MGN Vikings Esports | 17c | 414.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MGN Vikings Esports | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…492ebacked BNK FEARX | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed MGN Vikings Esports | 16c | 242.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed MGN Vikings Esports | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…9cb3backed MGN Vikings Esports | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed MGN Vikings Esports | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…b7b6backed MGN Vikings Esports | 18c | 139.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 11c | 133.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…7714backed MGN Vikings Esports | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…88e4backed MGN Vikings Esports | 14c | 105.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed MGN Vikings Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed MGN Vikings Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed MGN Vikings Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed MGN Vikings Esports | 20c | 76.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.