Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Phantasma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd89bc2f3746ab5a7b9228e2b04172c0b8a124c908a0a313ede97f0ad944409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Phantasma | 60c | 5,930$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.89 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Barça eSports | 41c | 5,172$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.29 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barça eSports | 62c | 1,809$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.5 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Barça eSports | 57c | 558.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Phantasma | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Barça eSports | 54c | 403.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Phantasma | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Phantasma | 38c | 273.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Barça eSports | 57c | 214.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Phantasma | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed Barça eSports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed Barça eSports | 55c | 29.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.