Lol · resolved market
LoL: Zena Esports vs Verdant
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x414ef8577a84f837679c642699888e5c894506bc5aa4ba5712db2e0e48bf2323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Zena Esports, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Verdant | 68c | 37,980$25,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,131.57 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Zena Esports | 32c | 13,381$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.01 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Zena Esports | 32c | 5,109$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.94 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Zena Esports | 32c | 3,647$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.19 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Zena Esports | 32c | 3,392$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Zena Esports | 32c | 2,621$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Zena Esports | 32c | 2,400$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Zena Esports | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Zena Esports | 32c | 1,769$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.92 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Zena Esports | 30c | 1,765$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zena Esports | 2c | 1,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Zena Esports | 27c | 745.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Zena Esports | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Zena Esports | 34c | 224.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Zena Esports | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Zena Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Zena Esports | 32c | 87.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Zena Esports | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.