CS2 · resolved market
CS: fnatic vs Nemiga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb22a5050d5c861b1516e7972eb4c8a578ba5ba49203fb31547e940a5b4885ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga | 0c | 12,127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed fnatic | 72c | 1,980$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.89 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Nemiga | 39c | 1,290$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.29 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked fnatic | 66c | 960.89$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Nemiga | 16c | 955.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nemiga | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Nemiga | 38c | 693.26$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked fnatic | 73c | 671$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Nemiga | 34c | 543.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nemiga | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked fnatic | 63c | 474.26$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Nemiga | 36c | 221.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked fnatic | 66c | 171$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…8949backed Nemiga | 29c | 69.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed fnatic | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.