CS2 · resolved market
CS: FURIA vs G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb6e150666647bc6e41f743fa348cd7a6a1aac0fbacdd554cb81764e77012e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed FURIA | 42c | 19,461$8,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,345.39 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked G2 | 58c | 11,736$6,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,807 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 41c | 7,322$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.3 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed G2 | 59c | 2,721$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 | 59c | 2,371$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.89 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked G2 | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked G2 | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed G2 | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…da92backed G2 | 38c | 1,210$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked G2 | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.03 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed G2 | 58c | 733.46$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed FURIA | 42c | 710$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked G2 | 61c | 680$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA | 61c | 646.51$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FURIA | 42c | 595.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked G2 | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked G2 | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed G2 | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed G2 | 44c | 493.79$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed FURIA | 42c | 475$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.5 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 | 58c | 471$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed G2 | 58c | 462.9$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FURIA | 53c | 456.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked G2 | 50c | 416.67$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked FURIA | 54c | 369.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed FURIA | 45c | 346.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed FURIA | 60c | 317.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked G2 | 13c | 314.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed G2 | 48c | 301.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 | 58c | 286.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked G2 | 30c | 241.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 59c | 240.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed G2 | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked G2 | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed G2 | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed G2 | 59c | 167.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed G2 | 59c | 139.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked G2 | 57c | 135.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed FURIA | 41c | 122$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed G2 | 59c | 109.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed G2 | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed G2 | 61c | 99.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed G2 | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed FURIA | 42c | 74.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed G2 | 36c | 68.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed G2 | 35c | 64.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…8a5abacked G2 | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked G2 | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed G2 | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed FURIA | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed G2 | 59c | 46.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked FURIA | 44c | 41.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…4038backed G2 | 46c | 36.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed G2 | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked G2 | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked FURIA | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked G2 | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed G2 | 59c | 17.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.