Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Vitality.Bee (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359c17f6050d07a2e7cd187d5bd4e37a28820a6a791c8a3f7cd3f3314b2626aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality.Beeof ROSSMANN Centaurs, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x581d…2b06backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 27c | 1,605$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.3 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Vitality.Bee | 78c | 1,083$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Vitality.Bee | 64c | 716.78$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vitality.Bee | 71c | 713.45$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 575.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vitality.Bee | 72c | 499$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality.Bee | 72c | 497.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Vitality.Bee | 72c | 450$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 27c | 397.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 371.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 195.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality.Bee | 73c | 116.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…61dfbacked Vitality.Bee | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…03dbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Vitality.Bee | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.