College Football · resolved market
Spread: USC (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70de7f91af5e0415a0f8743bd71f22728e44a68090903f996bb0d27c4348b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCUof USC, TCU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed USC | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed USC | 47c | 3,351$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.84 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed TCU | 53c | 3,320$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU | 54c | 2,980$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed TCU | 52c | 2,944$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.53 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed USC | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.98 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed TCU | 55c | 2,387$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b7b1backed USC | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed TCU | 53c | 1,054$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.2 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU | 47c | 990.98$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed USC | 47c | 874.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed USC | 45c | 855.1$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed TCU | 57c | 636.59$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed TCU | 65c | 606.89$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed TCU | 53c | 571.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.49 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed USC | 25c | 499.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed USC | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked USC | 35c | 419$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked USC | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed TCU | 54c | 409.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked USC | 22c | 332.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed USC | 26c | 330$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed USC | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 8cpaid | +333.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed USC | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed USC | 58c | 250$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed TCU | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed USC | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed USC | 44c | 203$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked USC | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked TCU | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked TCU | 73c | 185$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed TCU | 57c | 174.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed TCU | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed TCU | 59c | 156.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked TCU | 57c | 137$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked USC | 53c | 132.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU | 51c | 130.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked TCU | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked USC | 43c | 110.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed TCU | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed TCU | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed USC | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed USC | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked TCU | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked USC | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a8…3663backed TCU | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed USC | 43c | 98.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked TCU | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed USC | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed USC | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed TCU | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed TCU | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked USC | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed TCU | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…6e24backed TCU | 73c | 72.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed TCU | 52c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed TCU | 59c | 71.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed USC | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed USC | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed USC | 46c | 65.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed TCU | 49c | 60.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked TCU | 56c | 58.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed USC | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked USC | 46c | 56.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed USC | 31c | 56.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed TCU | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked TCU | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…0011backed USC | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed TCU | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed USC | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked USC | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed USC | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed USC | 47c | 49.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed USC | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed TCU | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed USC | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a42abacked USC | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed TCU | 57c | 46.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed TCU | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed TCU | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked TCU | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked TCU | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked TCU | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed USC | 51c | 37.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed USC | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked USC | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed TCU | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed TCU | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked TCU | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed USC | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed USC | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed TCU | 58c | 32.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked TCU | 48c | 32.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked TCU | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed USC | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked TCU | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked TCU | 37c | 27.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed USC | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: USC (-6.5)this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: USC (-4.5)TCU won
- Spread: USC (-5.5)TCU won
- USC vs. TCUTCU won
- USC vs. TCU: 1H MoneylineTCU won
- USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.