Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8a51600e6ec2641fcc25efea4f1ce32d00f0c665f5223142e11afd5ea7c126a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 43c | 19,322$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,271.51 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 43c | 11,009$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781.94 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 46c | 11,000$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.65 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 41c | 7,937$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 46c | 6,039$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 43c | 5,865$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 42c | 4,300$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.78 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 45c | 3,372$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.14 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 54c | 3,298$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.63 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,995$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,484.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,905$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.04 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 46c | 1,762$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 45c | 1,605$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.52 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 42c | 1,372$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 50c | 1,279$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 66c | 1,279$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 1,205$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 1,204$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.81 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2,039.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 46c | 886.33$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 46c | 850$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 822.91$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.82 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 43c | 682.86$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +1,414.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…1fa6backed Yes | 3c | 663.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…61aabacked Yes | 48c | 590.75$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 45c | 475.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 56c | 416.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 43c | 334.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 40c | 319.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 44c | 292.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked Yes | 52c | 290.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 44c | 282.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 49c | 275.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 53c | 275$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed No | 56c | 259.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 57c | 250.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…3d65backed Yes | 44c | 228.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…6580backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…67adbacked Yes | 49c | 184.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Yes | 41c | 143.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked Yes | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +359.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed No | 65c | 116.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb7…5b4bbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 65c | 85.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 53c | 80.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4474…9d1bbacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 45c | 60.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…52adbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…9c7bbacked No | 59c | 57.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 56.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…9d43backed Yes | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…4cd9backed Yes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…4a7cbacked Yes | 42c | 44.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef7…b64bbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…8a2abacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0cebbacked No | 57c | 40.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…605cbacked Yes | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…175cbacked No | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…c196backed Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…9cbdbacked No | 60c | 33.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…30a8backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 48c | 29.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…8a51backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…7b03backed Yes | 63c | 25.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 42c | 24.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…cd06backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…3d52backed No | 58c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 55c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…6906backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…b465backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…cad5backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…bd49backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +693.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 55c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.