Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63daae9d0fb558b5ea7264557ab2334d9d3866e0ab53b247bb0b739b29abd726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 37c | 35,121$13,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,169.65 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 38c | 18,769$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.77 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 36c | 12,966$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 40c | 7,930$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 38c | 6,000$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.7 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 4,699$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.92 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 39c | 4,252$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 37c | 4,015$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 37c | 3,201$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.11 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 39c | 2,673$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 39c | 2,153$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.79 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 61c | 1,954$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.7 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…e839backed No | 65c | 1,686$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 63c | 1,595$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.51 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 1,088$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed No | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2,039.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 64c | 989.05$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.13 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 34c | 951.16$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 61c | 879.18$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.74 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 60c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 43c | 775.57$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 63c | 769.22$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.53 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 37c | 609.86$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +1,414.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 580.17$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.55 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 32c | 495$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked Yes | 33c | 454.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…bf84backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…237cbacked No | 66c | 300.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +507.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 34c | 297.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b1…1078backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…a6bebacked No | 72c | 289.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 39c | 283.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 69c | 277.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 59c | 266$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 165.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…67adbacked Yes | 40c | 160.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 31c | 137.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14a8…7e6bbacked Yes | 40c | 126.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed No | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 60c | 103.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226c…5541backed Yes | 40c | 103.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked Yes | 40c | 100.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 65c | 89.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e92…7be8backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 62c | 70.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 61c | 69.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 64.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…52adbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0cebbacked No | 63c | 60.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…9c7bbacked No | 62c | 58.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…2d64backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 46.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…8a51backed No | 62c | 45.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 67c | 43.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…b0aebacked No | 59c | 40.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…519ebacked No | 60c | 40.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 40c | 39.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…bb56backed No | 61c | 35.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…46babacked Yes | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf700…166fbacked No | 60c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…bd49backed No | 66c | 31.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…6c42backed No | 61c | 28.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…6403backed Yes | 41c | 26.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…dd9abacked Yes | 43c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…d97abacked Yes | 41c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…605cbacked No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 41c | 24.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked No | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…c022backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +693.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.