La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ebf639b038a4539ae04455fa79f513b3c9a6766d38e24757da61b957b659da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 375,101$183,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,530.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 51c | 175,000$89,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,750 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 145,363$74,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,227.99 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 19,028$9,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 5,177$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.85 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 3,240$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,069$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.55 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 68c | 1,476$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 26c | 530.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 48c | 505.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 488.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 54c | 480$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 459.92$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 26c | 444.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 33c | 420$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…6aadbacked Over | 45c | 402$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…247abacked Under | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 42c | 348.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…6a22backed Over | 45c | 315$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 305.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…7bdcbacked Over | 45c | 289$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…ac1dbacked Over | 45c | 288$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…7e37backed Under | 55c | 263$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…402dbacked Under | 55c | 253$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…a148backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…ef62backed Under | 55c | 205$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 54c | 202$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 7c | 197.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…382dbacked Over | 45c | 179$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…a8debacked Under | 55c | 162$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 39c | 127.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 18c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 47c | 107.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 48c | 104.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Under | 55c | 104.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 46c | 97.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 52c | 95.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Over | 38c | 88.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 54c | 81.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 53c | 67.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…0047backed Over | 37c | 66.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Over | 46c | 65.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 21c | 61.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…249bbacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 59.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Under | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 53.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 36c | 46.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Over | 33c | 34.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Under | 54c | 33.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Under | 53c | 32.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 54c | 30.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Under | 54c | 30.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Under | 53c | 24.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 55c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 53c | 19.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.