La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x850f89adbc23fe951f7e26e7fc1aa755e39e22381b8c708e7f8299e6dbf11880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,351$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…1ca2backed No | 66c | 1,348$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 34c | 309.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 34c | 291.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 48c | 199.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 163.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 30c | 92.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 53c | 66.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 61.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 52c | 57.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 44.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 54c | 40.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 69c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.