Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elvina Kalieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42df8cab404f3042945fe74caf324e719ef5439c86c6a1d537da82a109eef8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elvina Kalievaof Yulia Starodubtseva, Elvina Kalieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Elvina Kalieva | 51c | 9,077$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.16 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 22c | 8,940$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 0c | 5,702$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 45c | 4,000$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.27 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 62c | 957.3$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 32c | 781.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Elvina Kalieva | 53c | 682.61$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Elvina Kalieva | 33c | 600.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.03 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 27c | 593.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Elvina Kalieva | 39c | 519.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 53c | 498.78$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elvina Kalieva | 40c | 444.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.17 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 70c | 430.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 46c | 407.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…b7f2backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 334$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 40c | 285.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 5c | 263$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 238.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 50c | 223$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Elvina Kalieva | 38c | 221.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 39c | 217.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 64c | 212.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Elvina Kalieva | 72c | 184.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 34c | 167$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…22b8backed Elvina Kalieva | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 27c | 158$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Elvina Kalieva | 38c | 130$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 26c | 117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 42c | 116.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 28c | 108.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Elvina Kalieva | 41c | 91.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Elvina Kalieva | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Elvina Kalieva | 57c | 82.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 28c | 77.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 70c | 63.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 59c | 57.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elvina Kalieva | 33c | 56.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Elvina Kalieva | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Elvina Kalieva | 32c | 51.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 63c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Elvina Kalieva | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 67c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 55c | 47.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 58c | 47.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Elvina Kalieva | 42c | 47.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elvina Kalieva | 38c | 46.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 48c | 45.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Elvina Kalieva | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 63c | 28.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Elvina Kalieva | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…178bbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.