Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93be4a9c5c52c2e8879ff20285f61526079de0a575a4722a0a16152aa136b723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 3,503$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 62c | 2,169$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.59 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,921$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.97 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 37c | 758.73$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 749.21$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 55c | 740$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 64c | 701.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 684.82$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.95 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 468.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…f02abacked Over | 66c | 443.12$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 39c | 415.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.32 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 38c | 370$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 62c | 360.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 38c | 331.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 330.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 328.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 323.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 63c | 315$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 256.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 63c | 238.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 48c | 205.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 38c | 185$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 19c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 64c | 143.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…2ffebacked Under | 38c | 126$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 120.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 113.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Over | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 56c | 91.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 36c | 70.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Under | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…02bcbacked Over | 63c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 37c | 46.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 37.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…dfc4backed Over | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 35.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Over | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 36c | 32.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…5ca6backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 51c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 62c | 29.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…973abacked Over | 64c | 22.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 65c | 19.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Over | 63c | 19.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb415…93f9backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…c15ebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.