Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ecc7913380f624cf5ba2d1e5634ff2edcc24a19d484ddc99f21b5b9b8291292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,783 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,366$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 47c | 2,148$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 970.87$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 921.81$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.47 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 58c | 368$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 310.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 299.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 56c | 239.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 58c | 224.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 195.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Yes | 57c | 189.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 56c | 185.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 52c | 143.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 57c | 129.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 94.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 56c | 94.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 85.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 45c | 76.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 58c | 65.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 55.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 49.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 60c | 42.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 56c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 41.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 39.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 37.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…df10backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 58c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Yes | 40c | 32.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.