TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos: Lukas Neumayer vs Jacopo Vasami

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lukas Neumayerof Lukas Neumayer, Jacopo Vasami
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Jacopo Vasami0c5,583$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.962,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jacopo Vasami11c2,320$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jacopo Vasami32c1,886$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.991,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Lukas Neumayer69c1,884$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.0120847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Lukas Neumayer71c1,437$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.531,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Jacopo Vasami37c1,288$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.411,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacopo Vasami14c1,248$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.397,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jacopo Vasami32c750$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lukas Neumayer69c663.04$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.071,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jacopo Vasami29c620$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.426,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Lukas Neumayer66c603.7$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.266168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Lukas Neumayer80c472.71$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5438652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jacopo Vasami33c418.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9638931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacopo Vasami13c403.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Lukas Neumayer69c385.46$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4910161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Lukas Neumayer66c365.62$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.261,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jacopo Vasami29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Jacopo Vasami33c303.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Lukas Neumayer67c299.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9952460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jacopo Vasami25c274.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.798,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jacopo Vasami23c251.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b01…125ebacked Lukas Neumayer71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.565050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Jacopo Vasami32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.827733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Jacopo Vasami31c235.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.095425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Lukas Neumayer69c230.98$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.611,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Lukas Neumayer79c222.89$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.814864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Jacopo Vasami36c221.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Lukas Neumayer69c212.6$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4933650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Jacopo Vasami30c194.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5232842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Lukas Neumayer66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Lukas Neumayer66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5268350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbf…8cf6backed Lukas Neumayer80c150.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Jacopo Vasami33c149.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2542046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Lukas Neumayer68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0623965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Lukas Neumayer68c146.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.888465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Lukas Neumayer63c142$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93c…d7ecbacked Jacopo Vasami38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lukas Neumayer63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Lukas Neumayer64c116$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lukas Neumayer75c113$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.883,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lukas Neumayer75c103.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.184,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Lukas Neumayer69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jacopo Vasami33c101.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.763,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Jacopo Vasami32c100.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Lukas Neumayer68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6677967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lukas Neumayer63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3746649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Jacopo Vasami32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jacopo Vasami19c99.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a07…395fbacked Lukas Neumayer69c98.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6947…91a9backed Jacopo Vasami32c96.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Lukas Neumayer63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2412162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Jacopo Vasami34c84.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8832649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Lukas Neumayer69c84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.042661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Jacopo Vasami32c84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-81.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jacopo Vasami36c82.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Lukas Neumayer63c79.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.362,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Jacopo Vasami14c76.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0745147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Jacopo Vasami29c73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccba…e537backed Lukas Neumayer72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Jacopo Vasami31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Lukas Neumayer64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7518233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lukas Neumayer64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Jacopo Vasami36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Jacopo Vasami31c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7485748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Lukas Neumayer65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.857875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed Lukas Neumayer64c53.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jacopo Vasami34c53.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.233,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jacopo Vasami31c51.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.272,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4e…9487backed Lukas Neumayer66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Lukas Neumayer72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Lukas Neumayer68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Lukas Neumayer66c49.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c1…1fc1backed Lukas Neumayer67c48.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311050%5 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Lukas Neumayer66c46.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Lukas Neumayer76c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Lukas Neumayer65c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Lukas Neumayer66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.888450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Lukas Neumayer77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4714161.7%87 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72e…656dbacked Lukas Neumayer66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Lukas Neumayer77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.935559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Lukas Neumayer61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3199056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Lukas Neumayer65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0577047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d8…4762backed Lukas Neumayer69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Lukas Neumayer72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.834259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe795…d019backed Lukas Neumayer66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.88850%44 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Lukas Neumayer68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a00…56c6backed Lukas Neumayer65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Lukas Neumayer66c16.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5516870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Lukas Neumayer63c15.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.929154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.