TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elina Svitolinaof Katerina Siniakova, Elina Svitolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,202 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Katerina Siniakova10c16,540$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.42,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef49…a2b8backed Katerina Siniakova0c12,050$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Katerina Siniakova24c10,591$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.9426545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Elina Svitolina76c7,591$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.787146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Katerina Siniakova2c7,499$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.742,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Katerina Siniakova10c6,645$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.162,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Katerina Siniakova8c6,515$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.947,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Elina Svitolina80c4,740$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.8627063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Katerina Siniakova6c4,280$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Elina Svitolina80c3,998$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.7425764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Elina Svitolina80c3,495$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.0536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Katerina Siniakova23c3,062$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.165955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Katerina Siniakova22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Katerina Siniakova23c2,900$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Elina Svitolina77c2,427$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1646473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Katerina Siniakova23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9913135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Katerina Siniakova24c2,103$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.681,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Elina Svitolina77c1,532$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.31,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Katerina Siniakova6c1,418$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.173315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Elina Svitolina77c1,138$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8154450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Katerina Siniakova23c971.44$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.371,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043c…595fbacked Katerina Siniakova22c818.68$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.63911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Elina Svitolina77c804.4$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0145343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Katerina Siniakova24c800$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katerina Siniakova9c785.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Katerina Siniakova25c742.54$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7811045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katerina Siniakova6c730.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.047,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Katerina Siniakova7c730.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1517933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Elina Svitolina76c697$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2831146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Elina Svitolina78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0344754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Katerina Siniakova25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15095846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Katerina Siniakova4c455.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.912,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Elina Svitolina76c448.68$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6820261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Katerina Siniakova24c448$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Katerina Siniakova24c429.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.11,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Elina Svitolina75c400.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1129461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ca…35cebacked Elina Svitolina76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c37…e7eebacked Elina Svitolina75c330$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Elina Svitolina76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9522949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Katerina Siniakova16c309.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2241…b0f0backed Katerina Siniakova23c306.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Katerina Siniakova24c282.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.918133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Katerina Siniakova5c253.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.992,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Katerina Siniakova20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Katerina Siniakova23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Elina Svitolina76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebb…7e02backed Katerina Siniakova24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Katerina Siniakova10c187$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.146,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3663…a364backed Elina Svitolina77c174.27$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Katerina Siniakova20c154.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.819,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked Elina Svitolina75c144.04$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.012673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Katerina Siniakova23c143$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99e…67e3backed Elina Svitolina75c143$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.756668.2%45 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Katerina Siniakova20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Elina Svitolina75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3353058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Elina Svitolina76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584772.3%34 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Elina Svitolina76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.589663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Elina Svitolina76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.588858%51 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Elina Svitolina75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Katerina Siniakova19c129$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5170465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Elina Svitolina78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2184963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Elina Svitolina74c124.65$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Elina Svitolina77c117.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9530542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Elina Svitolina75c111.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Katerina Siniakova25c109$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2560240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Elina Svitolina80c108.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Katerina Siniakova19c108.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.568951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Katerina Siniakova24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+124.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Katerina Siniakova24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255450%27 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Elina Svitolina77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.960661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Elina Svitolina76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2477967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38df…4609backed Katerina Siniakova25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Elina Svitolina76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2424055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed Katerina Siniakova23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Katerina Siniakova24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Katerina Siniakova25c99.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9627543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Elina Svitolina76c98.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.66266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Elina Svitolina77c98.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6124762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked Katerina Siniakova23c95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.853384.8%28 W · 5 L+9.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elina Svitolina77c92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.194,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Elina Svitolina77c88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2429661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45f8…871bbacked Katerina Siniakova24c83.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Katerina Siniakova24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Katerina Siniakova18c78.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.933,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Katerina Siniakova25c75.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Katerina Siniakova25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Katerina Siniakova26c69.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Katerina Siniakova25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Elina Svitolina77c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4138048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Elina Svitolina76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Elina Svitolina77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942190.5%19 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick71cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Katerina Siniakova25c60.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Elina Svitolina78c52.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5416046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd031…22dcbacked Katerina Siniakova22c50.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…99d0backed Katerina Siniakova25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Elina Svitolina75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.528764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Katerina Siniakova21c48.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.345058%29 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8247…4f13backed Elina Svitolina77c46.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.74761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Elina Svitolina77c44.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1649955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…319bbacked Katerina Siniakova24c42.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.143839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.