Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Sean Cuenin vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b2a6b0e8394b818e76fc216fdbe7a6084b457af566b56b9b795d0416a1311e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Sean Cuenin, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sean Cuenin | 24c | 1,136$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.78 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 1,100$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Arthur Gea | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sean Cuenin | 23c | 725.43$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Sean Cuenin | 21c | 709.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Arthur Gea | 75c | 650.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Arthur Gea | 75c | 644.07$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Arthur Gea | 75c | 632.04$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…b2ddbacked Arthur Gea | 76c | 549.52$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sean Cuenin | 26c | 379.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Sean Cuenin | 25c | 348.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Gea | 76c | 323.53$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 318.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sean Cuenin | 24c | 290.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Sean Cuenin | 26c | 262.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sean Cuenin | 25c | 248.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 205.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sean Cuenin | 6c | 201.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Arthur Gea | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Sean Cuenin | 27c | 188.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Sean Cuenin | 21c | 170.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 137.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Sean Cuenin | 26c | 120.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Sean Cuenin | 28c | 114.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sean Cuenin | 24c | 109.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Sean Cuenin | 25c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arthur Gea | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Arthur Gea | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sean Cuenin | 25c | 95.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sean Cuenin | 22c | 81.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Sean Cuenin | 26c | 76.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Sean Cuenin | 26c | 65.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Sean Cuenin | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sean Cuenin | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sean Cuenin | 25c | 47.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Arthur Gea | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Arthur Gea | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 32.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 26.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…3cccbacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Arthur Gea | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Arthur Gea | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Sean Cuenin vs Arthur Geathis page
- Cuenin vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.