MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1023ce4823a239bbbdc144d47b57f419705f20c719c5afb70ae149acd86605af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Phillies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Phillies | 56c | 7,148$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.95 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 68c | 5,430$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Marlins | 43c | 4,129$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.78 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 36c | 3,865$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Phillies | 57c | 3,819$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 44c | 2,530$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 58c | 2,385$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.07 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Marlins | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.72 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Phillies | 31c | 2,116$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Phillies | 41c | 1,749$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 69c | 1,624$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 54c | 1,340$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.83 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 44c | 1,322$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.3 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins | 44c | 1,067$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.52 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Phillies | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 44c | 729.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.79 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 22c | 562.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 55c | 504.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 54c | 449$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 45c | 433.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Marlins | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 68c | 329.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 56c | 321$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 55c | 293.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 66c | 262.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Phillies | 33c | 221.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 44c | 220.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Phillies | 55c | 219.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…b05ebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…feabbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…6457backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…01e4backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…f10dbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…4932backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…3f1bbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…71f1backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…811abacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…78cabacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…84dabacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…65f8backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…702cbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…485cbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…8886backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3d74backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…bb14backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…1edebacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…cbebbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…c42ebacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…77d5backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…cd7abacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…f7b9backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +12.3wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaed9…f023backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…b94bbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…9599backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…44e7backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…c35abacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…c117backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…2e30backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.