Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a9e9f2dc081eb370965345078f3207a01dfed9314e026763667f2472b7e68d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 65c | 67,897$44,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,794.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 37,004$12,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,928.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 62c | 20,512$12,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 9,125$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.4 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 35c | 7,581$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.37 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 24c | 5,367$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 12c | 4,168$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 36c | 2,377$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 1,906$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 35c | 322.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 268.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 38c | 181.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 62c | 112.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…6607backed Yes | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 104.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…5e38backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 21c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 35c | 90.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…411bbacked Yes | 38c | 57.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe969…f658backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…51bcbacked Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Lecce vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.