Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x914bc1e8fd262eb5666458fb09821fdca4b8ad26a9ef42fbd36a6b67b04c3236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Yes | 0c | 42,359$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,912$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 13c | 3,753$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,062$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,061$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 32c | 357.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 254$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 67c | 199.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 159.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…9186backed No | 68c | 75.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 48.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Lecce vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.