MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ceefd77399ce0a09152675893cb7e689bcecb1f079c4f50c93ac1b1368c6152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 57c | 10,393$5,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.99 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 43c | 5,931$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.29 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 43c | 3,720$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 66c | 2,100$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rays | 65c | 1,615$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.17 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nationals | 43c | 1,592$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.56 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,353$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Nationals | 43c | 1,234$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 36c | 1,075$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 63c | 1,065$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Nationals | 38c | 1,004$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.47 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 42c | 919.61$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.52 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Nationals | 43c | 790.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Nationals | 30c | 764.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 42c | 736.59$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 33c | 701.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.66 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 72c | 700.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 57c | 681.5$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 42c | 665.1$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…e1e4backed Nationals | 42c | 656.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rays | 66c | 650$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rays | 63c | 526.78$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.03 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 42c | 510.46$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.39 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Nationals | 43c | 446.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 57c | 443$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rays | 56c | 404.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Rays | 78c | 387.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Nationals | 19c | 378.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Rays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 25c | 350.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 42c | 349.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nationals | 17c | 323.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 43c | 309.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Rays | 58c | 259.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Rays | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Rays | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 43c | 227$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Nationals | 42c | 216$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 58c | 207.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Rays | 58c | 201.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…9d81backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a6babacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…9989backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…9e00backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…e8efbacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…ee94backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…8eb1backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…f634backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cd01backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…776ebacked Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdd…d3c6backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Nationalsthis page
- Rays vs. Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.