TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans42c983.45$418 inLost-$417.852,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans43c616$265 inLost-$264.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Trail Blazers58c500$290 inWon+$2104650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers57c373.65$213 inWon+$160.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Trail Blazers59c338.98$200 inWon+$138.9817456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans41c242.37$99 inLost-$99.372,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Pelicans44c227.27$100 inLost-$10038261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x85ee…10c4backed Pelicans43c177$76 inLost-$76.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68cd…9ea6backed Trail Blazers57c171$97 inWon+$73.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a6…012bbacked Pelicans43c171$74 inLost-$73.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec3…d1c7backed Trail Blazers59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.491855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…c925backed Trail Blazers57c165$94 inWon+$70.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf985…d854backed Pelicans43c159$68 inLost-$68.37850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442d…c987backed Trail Blazers57c144$82 inWon+$61.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans41c100$41 inLost-$412,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Trail Blazers57c87.72$50 inWon+$37.7212654.8%69 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Trail Blazers59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.7523550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2921…78b3backed Trail Blazers59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.755451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Trail Blazers57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0918155.2%100 W · 81 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd22…9bd5backed Trail Blazers59c33.9$20 inWon+$13.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans42c30$13 inLost-$12.62,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Trail Blazers58c30$17 inWon+$12.67862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Trail Blazers59c26.27$15 inWon+$10.7735851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a7…3ec1backed Trail Blazers58c20$12 inWon+$8.49348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.