MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe4a0f8f7f5405265968b3d6e089c651beb7f560ee919e3c20629a07c8119b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 53c | 39,992$21,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,111.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Twins | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.95 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Twins | 46c | 8,510$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 54c | 5,725$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.28 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Twins | 45c | 4,049$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Royals | 55c | 4,003$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 45c | 3,930$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 47c | 3,021$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 26c | 2,091$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.1 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Royals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Twins | 47c | 1,515$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.82 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Twins | 70c | 1,332$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 30c | 1,289$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Royals | 21c | 1,254$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Twins | 47c | 1,206$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.16 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Royals | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Royals | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Twins | 47c | 960$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 46c | 867.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.7 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Royals | 34c | 794.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 55c | 727$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Royals | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Twins | 46c | 479$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Royals | 54c | 453.02$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.63 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Royals | 54c | 450.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 45c | 444.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 47c | 413.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.21 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 65c | 407.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 54c | 376.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Twins | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Royals | 39c | 363.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 46c | 309.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 58c | 291.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 11c | 214.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 54c | 211.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Twins | 47c | 194$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Twins | 56c | 184.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Royals | 6c | 179.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 45c | 178.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Royals | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Royals | 44c | 172.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Twins | 47c | 157$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 7c | 155.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Royals | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Twins | 46c | 130.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 53c | 101.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Royals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Twins | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Royals | 53c | 72.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Royals | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 53c | 57.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Royals | 54c | 54.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Twins | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…0d6dbacked Twins | 73c | 51.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Royals | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Royals | 24c | 48.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 45c | 45.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Royals | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Royals | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Royals | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Royals | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Royals | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Royals | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Twins | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed Twins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…2965backed Royals | 54c | 28.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Twins | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Twins | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Twins | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Royals | 52c | 20.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Royals | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Royals | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.