TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$525,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Tigers50c272,635$137,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,101.284854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Twins49c80,400$39,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,39622852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins50c72,196$36,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,271.321,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Twins49c55,999$27,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,669.7138751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins37c50,744$18,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,750.782,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Tigers54c36,845$19,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,948.764057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers68c36,825$24,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,893.8233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins50c27,719$13,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,85556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins40c26,433$10,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50141747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins50c25,555$12,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,777.560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Twins50c19,997$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.3517156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Twins49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins49c8,095$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.541,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins36c7,759$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.79,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Twins39c6,218$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4251,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Twins29c6,015$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.7154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins50c4,529$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.212,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Tigers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.633953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Twins36c3,688$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.3138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Twins49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4705743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Tigers57c2,841$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.6325453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers49c2,350$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Twins62c1,937$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins51c1,850$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.51,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins27c1,483$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers52c1,354$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.0222546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Twins50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Tigers76c933.17$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7239739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Twins9c819.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers80c699$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Twins25c687.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twins34c552.94$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18639436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Tigers49c510.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers75c502.78$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Twins26c500.96$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0560052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Twins48c473.05$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Twins47c440.61$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.961,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins49c406$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.941,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins10c400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Twins50c378$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Tigers59c339.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9918159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Tigers57c335.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.514847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b84…9d3bbacked Twins43c329.77$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7518350.3%92 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…9945backed Twins64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Tigers64c312.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.115764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6f…e87cbacked Tigers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d87…7049backed Tigers50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…d1a7backed Tigers50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee35…e204backed Twins51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…f8c3backed Twins51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers49c250$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Twins41c240$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers59c219.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.234051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Twins47c218.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Twins23c206.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6931547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers52c201.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…be8bbacked Twins50c201.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Twins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Twins49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9026…6924backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Tigers49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10224951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Twins51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Tigers56c193.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.335950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…7dedbacked Tigers52c181.22$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa452…d1efbacked Tigers55c160.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.542661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tigers52c147.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Tigers50c139.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3957545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins51c132.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.421,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers77c130.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3534264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Tigers70c114.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8216472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Twins50c106.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.224351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers56c101.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4351151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Tigers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc122…5591backed Tigers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f8…cbecbacked Twins50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Tigers71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2915080%120 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5051955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Tigers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d2…0048backed Twins50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74df…c44abacked Tigers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Tigers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad2…76ccbacked Twins50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c0…a58abacked Tigers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Tigers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Tigers72c83.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8922958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Tigers66c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2412152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…3d8fbacked Tigers50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.