TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,400 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73a0…dd5bbacked Under55c23,875$13,131 inWon+$10,743.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…7b4fbacked Over45c12,893$5,802 inLost-$5,801.7550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3145…50f0backed Over45c11,000$4,950 inLost-$4,950425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c3,497$1,901 inWon+$1,596.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over47c3,468$1,630 inLost-$1,629.8411242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c444$226 inWon+$217.5622656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over49c442.86$217 inLost-$21735651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…845bbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost-$208557.6%49 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Under55c20$11 inWon+$97862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.