TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors50c22,555$11,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,268.611,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Rockets50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0009650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Raptors50c18,372$9,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,165.8219351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rockets50c15,820$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,869.232,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Rockets51c10,027$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Raptors50c9,000$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,539.9920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Rockets50c7,620$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.0471052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets52c6,677$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.921,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219f…b6c4backed Raptors48c4,884$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors49c4,627$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed7…dd0ebacked Rockets52c4,287$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets53c4,133$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b84…8e08backed Raptors47c2,920$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Rockets50c2,903$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.730053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf9…3b47backed Raptors48c2,725$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Raptors49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2255556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Rockets51c2,190$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.114856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors49c1,865$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.642,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…033abacked Rockets53c1,823$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4067…5a26backed Rockets53c1,687$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc205…5c7abacked Rockets53c1,562$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1e…103bbacked Raptors48c1,562$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Raptors48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72515745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Rockets51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.554454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raptors46c1,307$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.12,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockets49c1,002$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0247448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rockets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Raptors50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Rockets51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.398347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Raptors48c858.33$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41216837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd57…2d2ebacked Rockets52c817$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd292…5070backed Rockets52c745$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb3…a6d1backed Rockets52c736$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf21…e23ebacked Rockets52c724$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e7…5e5abacked Rockets52c663$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0077…559cbacked Rockets52c612$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Raptors50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Raptors49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29440947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5bf…51e8backed Raptors47c590$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Rockets51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7da…981fbacked Rockets52c587$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24527547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Rockets52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1929549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Rockets51c391$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dd…5300backed Rockets51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rockets51c357.78$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3141848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Raptors48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Rockets54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.65151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Rockets51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.538151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Rockets54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9242845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fc…bce0backed Raptors50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbd…1c01backed Raptors50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rockets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Raptors52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024055.4%133 W · 107 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fe…82d1backed Rockets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Rockets54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911626.7%31 W · 85 L-16.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Raptors52c157.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8217356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Raptors48c123.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4680148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Rockets51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.964548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Raptors20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+418.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Rockets51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff73…9793backed Rockets50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+60.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe81f…e393backed Raptors52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9260%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Rockets52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb67a…fd1abacked Rockets50c78.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Rockets51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7810548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Rockets51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.413338.3%51 W · 82 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Rockets51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21d1…a3cabacked Raptors49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Raptors46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9d…30acbacked Raptors50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…3183backed Rockets54c24.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.167052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Rockets49c22.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793a…899abacked Raptors49c20.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Rockets51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb40…106cbacked Rockets50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.