NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77c5d1a1fff2fb731dac0291799dae226315eeb7eac2894ab21285a1af2f56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd57…2d2ebacked Under | 49c | 4,884$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…b623backed Under | 49c | 4,801$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 3,339$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.35 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,862$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…70cdbacked Under | 49c | 2,687$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…3a70backed Under | 49c | 874$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…8993backed Over | 51c | 869$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…0879backed Over | 51c | 844$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…08e6backed Over | 51c | 842$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…b6c4backed Over | 51c | 782$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…42f8backed Over | 51c | 753$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…318abacked Over | 51c | 752$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa997…3552backed Under | 49c | 751$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…51c5backed Under | 49c | 734$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…cbe5backed Over | 51c | 734$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…f99ebacked Over | 51c | 734$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…5070backed Over | 51c | 730$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…d549backed Under | 49c | 729$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…4542backed Over | 51c | 728$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…a6d1backed Over | 51c | 721$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…a38abacked Over | 51c | 689$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…5e5abacked Over | 51c | 678$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…559cbacked Over | 51c | 675$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…e23ebacked Over | 51c | 652$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7da…981fbacked Over | 51c | 646$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…d8e1backed Over | 51c | 528$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Over | 50c | 511.52$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 46c | 420.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…6225backed Over | 51c | 368$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…e974backed Over | 51c | 367$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce2…77d4backed Over | 51c | 364$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…cddfbacked Over | 51c | 362$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…9f6bbacked Over | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…0849backed Over | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…c28fbacked Over | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…bdf6backed Over | 51c | 314$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…917fbacked Over | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 275$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 52c | 217.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…9c83backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. RaptorsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.