MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc79db01a824857d3d9bfdd6a266aa16171e466fc573627589099547295c4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 43c | 171,429$73,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,714.57 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Rays | 56c | 67,945$37,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,871.96 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 57c | 42,743$24,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,353.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 57c | 41,185$23,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,475.58 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 57c | 34,255$19,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,525.35 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 43c | 13,016$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.33 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 45c | 5,142$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.15 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 57c | 3,196$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rays | 55c | 2,933$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Rays | 56c | 1,755$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.62 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rays | 55c | 1,693$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.4 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 35c | 1,566$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 74c | 1,471$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.88 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 47c | 1,250$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.05 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Guardians | 43c | 1,220$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 42c | 1,181$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.23 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 1c | 1,086$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rays | 5c | 1,002$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Guardians | 44c | 846.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.96 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Rays | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rays | 57c | 723$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 57c | 700.61$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 43c | 677.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 43c | 660.96$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Rays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 43c | 489.12$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 43c | 465.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rays | 9c | 426.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 12c | 357.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rays | 7c | 356.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 57c | 309.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 9c | 226.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 43c | 224.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Guardians | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 56c | 207.82$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Rays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Guardians | 43c | 167.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 19c | 148.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rays | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Guardians | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Guardians | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Guardians | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Guardians | 48c | 82.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 44c | 80.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…592cbacked Guardians | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…1350backed Guardians | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Rays | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e776backed Guardians | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Guardians | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 65c | 64.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…7238backed Guardians | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Guardians | 43c | 52.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guardians | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…1f37backed Guardians | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Guardians | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…3703backed Rays | 57c | 45.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Guardians | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 52c | 44.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…6c6ebacked Guardians | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Rays | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…3a6dbacked Rays | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Guardians | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Guardians | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Rays | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Guardians | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Guardians | 43c | 26.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 47c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Guardians | 79c | 21.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Rays | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Raysthis page
- Guardians vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Rays (-1.5)Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.