MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1f08cf89a8b416877bdaf8a365c1bfc404a7edffab35fef6127c83136a2d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mariners, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Phillies | 52c | 231,126$121,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,964.27 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 48c | 55,744$26,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,923.85 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 49c | 53,358$25,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,882.15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 48c | 42,212$20,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,261.76 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 47c | 40,822$19,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,186.53 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 2c | 30,065$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 51c | 25,024$12,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,261.59 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 47c | 22,540$10,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,593.64 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 2c | 13,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 2c | 7,465$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.34 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 48c | 5,617$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.08 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 49c | 5,440$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 49c | 4,940$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.9 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 51c | 4,262$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 31c | 3,997$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 53c | 3,737$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.39 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Phillies | 61c | 3,099$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.59 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Mariners | 9c | 2,580$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Phillies | 60c | 2,546$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.76 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c39fbacked Mariners | 50c | 2,090$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.96 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 70c | 1,999$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…dc40backed Mariners | 50c | 1,910$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71b…38b4backed Mariners | 50c | 1,904$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Mariners | 47c | 1,583$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.34 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…4aa8backed Phillies | 50c | 1,566$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…9a7dbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…c03bbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Mariners | 50c | 1,540$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…6b4dbacked Phillies | 50c | 1,534$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 49c | 1,350$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.47 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 4c | 1,278$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Mariners | 3c | 1,276$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Phillies | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…5ec6backed Phillies | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 48c | 1,188$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.93 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 3c | 1,110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Phillies | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…74bdbacked Phillies | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 53c | 1,025$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…b33bbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…0b91backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…696fbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Phillies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…b744backed Phillies | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Phillies | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…14cabacked Phillies | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 48c | 875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…e22fbacked Phillies | 50c | 870$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…df66backed Phillies | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…b269backed Mariners | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…bd68backed Phillies | 52c | 796.15$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Mariners | 49c | 796.04$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Mariners | 47c | 711.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.16 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…f3fcbacked Phillies | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…3ba1backed Phillies | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…b5c0backed Phillies | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Mariners | 5c | 650.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Phillies | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mariners | 41c | 597.69$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 8c | 567.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Mariners | 48c | 522.23$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Mariners | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mariners | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 52c | 489.62$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 47c | 448.86$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Mariners | 48c | 417.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Phillies | 58c | 397.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Phillies | 52c | 380$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 53c | 379.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mariners | 3c | 362.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 47c | 360.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 50c | 305.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 48c | 291.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Mariners | 5c | 278.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 51c | 262.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Phillies | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Phillies | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Mariners | 48c | 223.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Mariners | 19c | 215.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…4869backed Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.