MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x900a4ef1692f6e57d5d80f2c186c749f035efcc5ed143c8017759e56cc333161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rangers | 57c | 5,323$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.8 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 57c | 3,883$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.59 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 77c | 2,854$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.37 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Athletics | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 41c | 2,413$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Athletics | 14c | 2,192$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 4c | 1,837$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 42c | 1,688$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.52 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 72c | 1,610$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.06 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 56c | 1,109$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.89 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 2c | 939.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 20c | 768.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 43c | 697$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 41c | 634.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Rangers | 58c | 606.78$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rangers | 59c | 504.39$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Rangers | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Athletics | 21c | 471.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 6c | 470$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rangers | 58c | 450.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rangers | 65c | 403.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Athletics | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Athletics | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Rangers | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Athletics | 43c | 358.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 43c | 350$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics | 43c | 255.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics | 17c | 248.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 42c | 244.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 73c | 234.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 60c | 203$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 13c | 200.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Athletics | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Rangers | 58c | 143.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Rangers | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 44c | 136.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Athletics | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 57c | 91.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rangers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rangers | 76c | 66.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 42c | 61.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Athletics | 24c | 61.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Rangers | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 57c | 55.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Rangers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Rangers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rangers | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Athletics | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Rangers | 60c | 34.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Athletics | 40c | 34.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Rangers | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Rangers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Athletics | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Rangers | 73c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Rangers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed Rangers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Rangers | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Athleticsthis page
- Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.