MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b41826c927e55e21e3ccb94e17a20aaabceb21a276ae491182b4784ff4e2884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Pirates, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 41c | 24,615$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 34c | 16,072$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,448.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 63c | 13,261$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 59c | 12,888$7,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.81 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mets | 59c | 10,000$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.06 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mets | 61c | 7,438$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.28 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 40c | 5,049$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Mets | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 41c | 4,250$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pirates | 39c | 2,721$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,918$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.36 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Mets | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pirates | 42c | 1,663$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.55 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Mets | 61c | 1,601$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 56c | 1,471$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 41c | 1,412$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.69 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 77c | 1,091$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 43c | 1,091$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.34 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 53c | 1,019$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.74 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…c6e2backed Pirates | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mets | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mets | 51c | 668.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.18 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Pirates | 39c | 649.96$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pirates | 44c | 570.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pirates | 38c | 525.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 38c | 496.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Pirates | 50c | 475.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mets | 69c | 432.87$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Mets | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 30c | 395.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 62c | 366.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Pirates | 51c | 359.69$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 56c | 354.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Mets | 53c | 347.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cdc2backed Pirates | 43c | 334.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Pirates | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Pirates | 41c | 250$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 54c | 245.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 44c | 227.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 26c | 212.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 54c | 205.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Pirates | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 40c | 191.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Mets | 58c | 190.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Pirates | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 33c | 173.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Mets | 52c | 167.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Pirates | 42c | 166.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates | 6c | 165$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Pirates | 40c | 147.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mets | 65c | 138.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Mets | 56c | 137.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…3857backed Pirates | 41c | 126.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 41c | 115.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Pirates | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…ca1abacked Mets | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mets | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Mets | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…f77ebacked Pirates | 40c | 89.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…f707backed Mets | 61c | 75.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Pirates | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed Mets | 59c | 70.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…524abacked Pirates | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…db49backed Pirates | 40c | 63.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe03…b864backed Pirates | 45c | 58.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 62c | 57.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…70c0backed Pirates | 43c | 57.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…b735backed Mets | 61c | 57.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 32c | 55.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…7707backed Mets | 58c | 54.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Mets | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pirates | 39c | 52.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d4…1137backed Mets | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Pirates | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Mets | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…299cbacked Mets | 58c | 49.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…878cbacked Pirates | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mets | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mets | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Pirates | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…0556backed Mets | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…af69backed Pirates | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 58c | 37.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…620cbacked Pirates | 44c | 36.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Mets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Mets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Mets | 58c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…e52ebacked Mets | 59c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…e180backed Pirates | 40c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…7867backed Pirates | 43c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…22ffbacked Pirates | 40c | 33.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.