MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x305cdc3f678c947c77c9f03972bc158ed69cea7b28909133450331810299d09a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rangers, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Red Sox | 53c | 21,921$11,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 39c | 13,020$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,959.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 49c | 11,484$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 57c | 5,227$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 45c | 2,547$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.31 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rangers | 30c | 1,590$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 43c | 1,574$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,475$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.16 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rangers | 47c | 1,245$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.32 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Rangers | 45c | 1,120$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Rangers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 56c | 979$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.76 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 53c | 865$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.05 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Rangers | 55c | 833.59$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.44 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers | 43c | 657.76$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 622.6$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Rangers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 50c | 423.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 43c | 397.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Rangers | 33c | 326.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers | 43c | 324$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rangers | 40c | 322.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Red Sox | 53c | 301.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 59c | 288.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Red Sox | 66c | 247$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…cda6backed Rangers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 47c | 214.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rangers | 60c | 194$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 56c | 184$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 51c | 165.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 152.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Red Sox | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rangers | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…8f1bbacked Rangers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rangers | 45c | 78.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 55c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rangers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 69c | 25.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 45c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…3e65backed Rangers | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.