MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f65cf739cccb60180bfac094e56e68b4c266177fee05644158805a49a4f478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Brewers, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Rays | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brewers | 52c | 9,005$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.61 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 45c | 3,927$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Brewers | 53c | 1,879$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.67 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 47c | 1,342$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.55 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 65c | 1,313$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 40c | 1,118$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.04 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 71c | 1,013$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.02 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rays | 60c | 997.91$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.16 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 50c | 799.27$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.81 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Rays | 49c | 797$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 51c | 795.88$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.42 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 47c | 732.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Rays | 48c | 723.4$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 34c | 638.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Brewers | 18c | 602.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 59c | 600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rays | 49c | 565.52$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 30c | 562.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 33c | 542.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Rays | 75c | 506.67$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Brewers | 50c | 486.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…d36abacked Rays | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…522cbacked Brewers | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rays | 58c | 426.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 6c | 423$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Brewers | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Brewers | 26c | 334.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Brewers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rays | 46c | 277.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rays | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rays | 53c | 172.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Brewers | 53c | 140.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Rays | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed Rays | 60c | 117.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 54c | 116.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 47c | 107.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 37c | 107.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…2198backed Rays | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rays | 48c | 100.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…7480backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Brewers | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…39e0backed Rays | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 45c | 86.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…d8aebacked Brewers | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 51c | 76.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Brewers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rays | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…41ebbacked Brewers | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rays | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Rays | 69c | 51.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…d5d7backed Brewers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Brewers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…cb50backed Brewers | 52c | 49.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 48c | 49.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…742bbacked Brewers | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Brewers | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rays | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…76acbacked Brewers | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Brewers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…42bbbacked Brewers | 53c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Rays | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Brewers | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 66c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Rays | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Brewers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Brewers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…1d5fbacked Rays | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Rays | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…23b1backed Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Brewers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Brewers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…15d8backed Brewers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.