MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb141d201803c7f734264ef765f5fd3d95eca0171f7cbaeb91a621ce10d7a8480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Braves | 33c | 7,091$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.38 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Braves | 0c | 4,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Dodgers | 47c | 3,641$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 2,935$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.15 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Dodgers | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Braves | 3c | 2,100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Braves | 49c | 1,957$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.93 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 54c | 1,808$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Braves | 56c | 1,700$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 53c | 1,426$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 6c | 1,376$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,334$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Braves | 28c | 1,214$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.92 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.53 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Braves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Braves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 19c | 899.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 13c | 701.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 45c | 557.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Braves | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Braves | 50c | 477.84$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 55c | 342.91$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Dodgers | 46c | 230.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Braves | 54c | 228$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Braves | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 48c | 209.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Braves | 11c | 191.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Braves | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 45c | 120.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…92b8backed Dodgers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Braves | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Dodgers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc8…8f5dbacked Braves | 51c | 65.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Braves | 46c | 65.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers | 74c | 61.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Dodgers | 46c | 60.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed Dodgers | 50c | 57.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Braves | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 50c | 50.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…70d5backed Dodgers | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Braves | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Dodgers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Braves | 55c | 38.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Dodgers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Dodgers | 47c | 28.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dodgers | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Dodgers | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.