MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5465b1a344123c907b64672225755cfcf088f4be729f4c759832704194661f1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers | 51c | 20,416$10,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,003.88 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 11,551$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.16 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Dodgers | 53c | 7,182$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 7,096$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 1,361 | 50.8%691 W · 670 L | +13.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,000$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,418$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,915$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.72 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,867$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.71 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,677$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.67 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,431$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,380$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 51c | 1,178$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,118$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 921.67$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 846$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 544.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 404.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 925 | 50.1%463 W · 462 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 377.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 55c | 349.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Dodgers | 49c | 318.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 243$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Dodgers | 50c | 217.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Dodgers | 52c | 215.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,452 | 49.9%725 W · 727 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Dodgers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 193.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 51c | 167.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Dodgers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cdc2backed Dodgers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 96.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Dodgers | 62c | 85.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…fc35backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 57.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 67c | 52.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…ec09backed Dodgers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…167dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 52c | 48.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 41.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…5b9abacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…b939backed Dodgers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Dodgers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Dodgers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…823ebacked Dodgers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5e0dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…c8fdbacked Dodgers | 50c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…d965backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,064 | 53.8%1,110 W · 954 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Dodgers | 52c | 28.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…9110backed Dodgers | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 25.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,058 | 50.4%533 W · 525 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b15abacked Dodgers | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.