Chess · resolved market
Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ccef8093796c790e9df904b93b0280c6e05fa09a7e7e928eb8079867aaae5ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2813…958dbacked Yes | 71c | 5,606$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 31c | 3,012$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 39c | 2,004$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.43 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…669abacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 34c | 1,401$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…b609backed Yes | 53c | 1,264$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.24 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 28c | 1,223$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ec6bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 62c | 976.9$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.4 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…9a78backed No | 37c | 867.78$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 72c | 799.8$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 60c | 711.02$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…ba20backed Yes | 73c | 684.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 31c | 627.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.05 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…46ffbacked Yes | 62c | 600$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 22c | 552.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 64c | 508.03$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.76 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…3d31backed Yes | 56c | 419.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7a7dbacked Yes | 70c | 365.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Yes | 71c | 365.2$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 64c | 360.59$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 69c | 359.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 69c | 342.86$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 65c | 330$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…f206backed No | 33c | 329.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…b222backed Yes | 67c | 295.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Yes | 67c | 272.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…d48cbacked No | 49c | 257.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…710fbacked No | 39c | 257.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 63c | 244.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…0a77backed Yes | 71c | 238$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…4198backed No | 38c | 235$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed No | 30c | 222$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked No | 36c | 204.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 31c | 197.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…eacfbacked No | 37c | 175.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Yes | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…659abacked No | 40c | 159.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…111cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…dee6backed Yes | 62c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 69c | 145.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…c159backed No | 41c | 142.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…c0c4backed No | 39c | 133.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked No | 33c | 129.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…044dbacked No | 36c | 128.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…c9bebacked No | 40c | 121.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 115.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked Yes | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…f238backed Yes | 61c | 102.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…e3adbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +333.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…d106backed No | 31c | 98.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 35c | 90.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…9791backed No | 45c | 85.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…7812backed Yes | 64c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…2bbdbacked No | 34c | 78.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…6856backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked Yes | 68c | 70.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 41c | 69.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1152…931fbacked Yes | 67c | 67.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 69c | 64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…416bbacked Yes | 66c | 60.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…b1b6backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…d52fbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…c160backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…4507backed No | 34c | 49.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed No | 41c | 48.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…413ebacked Yes | 59c | 47.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5e…1802backed No | 32c | 46.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…16e1backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…1398backed Yes | 68c | 43.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…23a5backed No | 31c | 43.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed No | 33c | 32.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…e83ebacked No | 44c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…eda6backed Yes | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…38a7backed No | 42c | 29.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…47e9backed Yes | 79c | 26.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 63c | 22.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…b177backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?this page
- Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.