MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6e635a99f225b951965b873e5c5165cc42d27fe5f1c38a61325a780a07e7eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Red Sox, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Red Sox | 50c | 20,000$9,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990.88 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 51c | 6,455$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 42c | 6,268$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Brewers | 50c | 6,086$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.91 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 51c | 5,787$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Brewers | 57c | 5,055$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.77 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 56c | 4,529$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.69 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…40acbacked Red Sox | 48c | 4,000$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 44c | 3,844$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 51c | 3,819$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.39 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Red Sox | 34c | 2,168$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 52c | 2,096$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.27 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 50c | 1,794$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 51c | 1,767$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,455$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,040$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.86 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Red Sox | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Brewers | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox | 49c | 733.32$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.33 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Brewers | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 52c | 696.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 48c | 658.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brewers | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Brewers | 41c | 616.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.46 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Brewers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…e6b0backed Red Sox | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 32c | 523.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Brewers | 24c | 500$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 61c | 490.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Brewers | 22c | 410.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.42 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 50c | 404.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Brewers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 358.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 47c | 315$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 61c | 303.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 51c | 257.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…a44fbacked Red Sox | 57c | 233.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 217.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Brewers | 51c | 196.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Red Sox | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers | 59c | 169.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox | 46c | 164.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Brewers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Red Sox | 45c | 132.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Red Sox | 46c | 131.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…e7edbacked Brewers | 18c | 131.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 46c | 119.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Red Sox | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Red Sox | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…fea3backed Brewers | 59c | 86.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Red Sox | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 47c | 84.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Brewers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Brewers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Brewers | 56c | 56.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Brewers | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Brewers | 79c | 50.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Brewers | 53c | 42.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Red Sox | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…d33cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Red Sox | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Brewers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Brewers | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Red Sox | 51c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 50c | 21.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 53c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.