TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs36c8,802$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.1347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…81babacked Spurs44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa527…b702backed Lakers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa858…4a65backed Lakers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b0…fe32backed Spurs43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6869…2650backed Lakers57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7d3…3c57backed Lakers57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…96d7backed Spurs44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd93…cbb9backed Spurs42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0e…bd07backed Lakers60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…71f9backed Spurs43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6011…d9d0backed Spurs40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4522…bb66backed Spurs44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2b…23d7backed Spurs43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a9…b20ebacked Lakers57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac58…b485backed Lakers58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02d…ac41backed Spurs45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x693c…24fcbacked Lakers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs40c4,254$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.3665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5542…c80ebacked Lakers60c4,037$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Lakers78c2,980$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.4970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs39c2,796$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Lakers77c2,590$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.641752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Spurs39c2,460$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.956141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked Lakers60c2,380$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.621442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Lakers67c2,187$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.311332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers71c2,070$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.1523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Lakers64c2,004$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.8423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Lakers55c1,639$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.526955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Spurs40c1,634$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4125939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Lakers62c1,615$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.512839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c61…f292backed Spurs40c1,375$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7a…ae07backed Lakers59c1,375$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs23c1,300$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Lakers9c1,290$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.089625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers28c1,255$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.322832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…2e3cbacked Spurs25c1,248$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.851729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+63.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs39c1,187$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Spurs42c1,010$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.750047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…fbe0backed Lakers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Spurs42c999.94$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.972343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs5c998.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb12…508bbacked Lakers62c966.74$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f1…7944backed Lakers56c925.4$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Spurs27c875.78$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.923732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Spurs37c821.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Lakers55c820$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36911135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Spurs41c799.93$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9712247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…5be8backed Lakers70c792.36$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Spurs13c774.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Spurs28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a14…9036backed Spurs45c687.49$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Spurs26c628.06$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.824637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Spurs23c622.73$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14129635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ff…0907backed Spurs49c613.72$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers23c564$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.31,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Spurs45c544.87$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1919642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e8…b92abacked Lakers62c514.28$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.522152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Lakers60c503.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5212451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1797…a900backed Spurs43c465.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17c…e8c3backed Spurs43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4817…c7b3backed Spurs42c449.3$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3590…148cbacked Lakers76c442.79$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.273256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Lakers75c440.51$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.133151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Lakers50c408$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0816443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs58c386.4$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers80c369.53$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9114057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Spurs27c369.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd7…c531backed Lakers52c362.79$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.983938.5%15 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Lakers56c306.91$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.771662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs42c295.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed Lakers57c290$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed Spurs42c289.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.971758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Spurs43c275$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.251723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Lakers62c255$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.923048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc6…603cbacked Spurs41c243.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Spurs44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Lakers57c210.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7214852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b4…442dbacked Lakers62c208.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.333164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Lakers59c202.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.626259.7%37 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Lakers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Spurs5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Lakers46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7510243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs41c199.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Lakers56c180$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.414542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Spurs34c179.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.87623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers62c172.43$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5214847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Lakers67c170.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2816345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x068a…331ebacked Lakers60c167.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Lakers61c165$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c26…e26abacked Spurs34c164.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04fa…6c06backed Lakers60c163$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.21764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Lakers43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9177437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7892…1ea2backed Spurs37c158.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Spurs54c154.94$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6715646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf081…718bbacked Spurs33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Spurs22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Spurs41c149.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9924147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Spurs59c135.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.