NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd0c933b474474e36ab130aec6384a101b6db0baa2cc3147f4631fbc32f5880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Timberwolves | 68c | 10,422$7,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.96 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 32c | 10,205$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.75 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Timberwolves | 65c | 10,177$6,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.42 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…f4dabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 8,006$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…bf9ebacked Magic | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 7,056$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.21 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Magic | 32c | 6,133$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.53 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Magic | 20c | 5,858$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.6 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 4,299$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.83 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 33c | 4,086$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.86 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 4,056$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 4,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 32c | 3,876$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.1 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 32c | 3,876$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.04 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 3,574$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Timberwolves | 69c | 3,546$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 3,540$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.63 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 3,338$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.24 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Magic | 15c | 3,312$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.07 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Magic | 26c | 3,302$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.31 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 68c | 3,128$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.89 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 33c | 2,999$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.77 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Magic | 36c | 2,759$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.2 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Magic | 33c | 2,711$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.66 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 34c | 2,622$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.45 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Magic | 28c | 2,550$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 26c | 2,485$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 33c | 2,373$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.18 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 27c | 2,234$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.38 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 30c | 2,185$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Magic | 34c | 1,847$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,824$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Magic | 31c | 1,802$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,674$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.26 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Magic | 33c | 1,627$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Magic | 33c | 1,556$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.57 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 33c | 1,481$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,258$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,244$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…3320backed Magic | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…6d99backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Magic | 6c | 1,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 75c | 1,170$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Magic | 32c | 1,153$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,052$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Magic | 14c | 1,050$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Magic | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Magic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Magic | 35c | 999.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.95 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 63c | 921.68$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.15 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 902.88$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Magic | 24c | 880.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.29 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Magic | 32c | 848.04$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Timberwolves | 67c | 844.45$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…9ba9backed Magic | 33c | 827.36$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…8af7backed Magic | 33c | 803.03$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…f1b8backed Timberwolves | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Magic | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 785.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 28c | 784.04$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…ebf8backed Timberwolves | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 2c | 727.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 23c | 706.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 33c | 648$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 624$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 77c | 562.4$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Magic | 21c | 515.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Magic | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Magic | 32c | 471.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…3379backed Timberwolves | 77c | 449.72$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Magic | 34c | 439.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…a9a4backed Magic | 27c | 433.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Timberwolves | 68c | 431.16$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 47c | 429.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Magic | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 62c | 419$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Magic | 7c | 410.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 410$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 33c | 377.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…0cd4backed Magic | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Magic | 36c | 350$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Timberwolves | 67c | 338.67$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Timberwolves | 76c | 337.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Magic | 19c | 328.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 32c | 311.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.